Title
Combining Fuzzy Imprecision With Probabilistic Uncertainty In Decision Making (Lecture Notes In Economics And Mathematical Syste,Used
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In the literature of decision analysis it is traditional to rely on the tools provided by probability theory to deal with problems in which uncertainty plays a substantive role. In recent years, however, it has become increasingly clear that uncertainty is a mul tifaceted concept in which some of the important facets do not lend themselves to analysis by probabilitybased methods. One such facet is that of fuzzy imprecision, which is associated with the use of fuzzy predicates exemplified by small, large, fast, near, likely, etc. To be more specific, consider a proposition such as 'It is very unlikely that the price of oil will decline sharply in the near future,' in which the italicized words play the role of fuzzy predicates. The question is: How can one express the mean ing of this proposition through the use of probabilitybased methods? If this cannot be done effectively in a probabilistic framework, then how can one employ the information provided by the proposition in question to bear on a decision relating to an investment in a company engaged in exploration and marketing of oil? As another example, consider a collection of rules of the form 'If X is Ai then Y is B,,' j = 1, . . . , n, in which X and Yare realvalued variables and Ai and Bi are fuzzy numbers exemplified by small, large, not very small, close to 5, etc.
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This warranty strictly does not cover damages that arose from negligence, misuse, wear and tear, or not in accordance with product instructions (dropping the product, etc.).
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