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End Times: Elites, Counterelites, And The Path Of Political Disintegration
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Peter Turchin Brings Science To History. Some Like It And Some Prefer Their History Plain. But Everyone Needs To Pay Attention To The Wellinformed, Convincing And Terrifying Analysis In This Book. Angus Deaton, Winner Of The Nobel Prize In Economicsfrom The Pioneering Cofounder Of Cliodynamics, The Groundbreaking New Interdisciplinary Science Of History, A Bigpicture Explanation For America'S Civil Strife And Its Possible Endgamespeter Turchin, One Of The Most Interesting Social Scientists Of Our Age, Has Infused The Study Of History With Approaches And Insights From Other Fields For More Than A Quarter Century. End Times Is The Culmination Of His Work To Understand What Causes Political Communities To Cohere And What Causes Them To Fall Apart, As Applied To The Current Turmoil Within The United States.Back In 2010, When Nature Magazine Asked Leading Scientists To Provide A Tenyear Forecast, Turchin Used His Models To Predict That America Was In A Spiral Of Social Disintegration That Would Lead To A Breakdown In The Political Order Circa 2020. The Years Since Have Proved His Prediction More And More Accurate, And End Times Reveals Why.The Lessons Of World History Are Clear, Turchin Argues: When The Equilibrium Between Ruling Elites And The Majority Tips Too Far In Favor Of Elites, Political Instability Is All But Inevitable. As Income Inequality Surges And Prosperity Flows Disproportionately Into The Hands Of The Elites, The Common People Suffer, And Societywide Efforts To Become An Elite Grow Ever More Frenzied. He Calls This Process The Wealth Pump; Its A World Of The Damned And The Saved. And Since The Number Of Such Positions Remains Relatively Fixed, The Overproduction Of Elites Inevitably Leads To Frustrated Elite Aspirants, Who Harness Popular Resentment To Turn Against The Established Order. Turchins Models Show That When This State Has Been Reached, Societies Become Locked In A Death Spiral It'S Very Hard To Exit.In America, The Wealth Pump Has Been Operating Full Blast For Two Generations. As Cliodynamics Shows Us, Our Current Cycle Of Elite Overproduction And Popular Immiseration Is Far Along The Path To Violent Political Rupture. That Is Only One Possible End Time, And The Choice Is Up To Us, But The Hour Grows Late.
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- Q: How many pages does the book have? A: This book has three hundred sixty-eight pages. It provides a comprehensive analysis of political disintegration and societal changes.
- Q: What is the binding type of 'End Times'? A: The binding type of 'End Times' is hardcover. This ensures durability and a premium feel for readers.
- Q: What are the dimensions of the book? A: The book measures six point three nine inches in length, one point two seven inches in width, and nine point five four inches in height. These dimensions make it easy to handle and store.
- Q: Who is the author of 'End Times'? A: The author of 'End Times' is Peter Turchin. He is a noted social scientist and co-founder of cliodynamics.
- Q: What is the main theme of the book? A: The main theme revolves around political disintegration and the dynamics between elites and the general populace. It explores historical patterns and current societal issues.
- Q: Is this book suitable for young readers? A: This book is intended for adults and may not be suitable for young readers. It deals with complex themes of political and social analysis.
- Q: What genre does 'End Times' fall under? A: The book falls under the genre of Evolution and Social Science. It combines historical analysis with contemporary political issues.
- Q: Can I read this book in one sitting? A: Reading this book in one sitting may be challenging due to its length and depth. It is best enjoyed in segments for better comprehension.
- Q: What kind of insights does the author provide? A: The author provides insights into the balance of power between elites and the majority. He uses historical models to discuss current political trends.
- Q: How should I store this hardcover book? A: Store the hardcover book in a dry place, upright on a shelf to maintain its shape. Avoid exposure to direct sunlight to prevent fading.
- Q: What is the publisher of 'End Times'? A: The publisher of 'End Times' is Penguin Press. They are known for publishing a wide range of influential books.
- Q: Is there any hazardous material in this book? A: No, there are no hazardous materials in this book. It is safe to handle and read.
- Q: What specific issues does the book address? A: The book addresses issues such as income inequality, political instability, and societal disintegration. It draws on historical patterns to inform current events.
- Q: How does the author support his arguments? A: The author supports his arguments with scientific models and historical data. He analyzes trends in society and their implications for the future.
- Q: Is this book based on factual research? A: Yes, this book is based on extensive research and data analysis. It combines insights from various disciplines to present a well-rounded perspective.