Environmental Modelling: An Uncertain Future?,Used

Environmental Modelling: An Uncertain Future?,Used

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Uncertainty in the predictions of science when applied to the environment is an issue of great current relevance in relation to the impacts of climate change, protecting against natural and manmade disasters, pollutant transport and sustainable resource management. However, it is often ignored both by scientists and decision makers, or interpreted as a conflict or disagreement between scientists. This is not necessarily the case, the scientists might well agree, but their predictions would still be uncertain and knowledge of that uncertainty might be important in decision making.Environmental Modelling: An Uncertain Future? introduces students, scientists and decision makers to:the different concepts and techniques of uncertainty estimation in environmental predictionthe philosophical background to different concepts of uncertaintythe constraint of uncertainties by the collection of observations and data assimilation in realtime forecastingtechniques for decision making under uncertainty.This book will be relevant to environmental modellers, practitioners and decision makers in hydrology, hydraulics, ecology, meteorology and oceanography, geomorphology, geochemistry, soil science, pollutant transport and climate change.A companion website for the book can be found at www.uncertainfuture.org.uk

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