Title
Evolution and Biases of Economic Forecasting: Seeking the guidance of ancients to understand how to improve nowadays economic fo,Used
Delivery time: 8-12 business days (International)
In this work an analysis of economic forecasting from two points of view is offered. Firstly, the historical interpretation of the time concept in ancient Egypt, Old Testament and ancient Greece is analyzed; secondly, the current state of economic forecasting accuracy is assessed, the empirical analysis being primarily based on the IMF data. The optimism bias presence in the IMF forecasts is analyzed for the GDP growth rate and inflation rate, in a dataset of 30 selected countries, in the period between 2000 and 2010 years. The presence of optimism bias in both observed variables is detected. Additionally, the comparative IMF forecasting performance analysis of 15 developed versus 15 developing countries is done and shown that on average the predictions for the developed countries are more accurate as compared to the developing countries.
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We ship your order within 2–3 business days for USA deliveries and 5–8 business days for international shipments. Once your package has been dispatched from our warehouse, you'll receive an email confirmation with a tracking number, allowing you to track the status of your delivery.
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Warranty
We provide a 2-year limited warranty, from the date of purchase for all our products.
If you believe you have received a defective product, or are experiencing any problems with your product, please contact us.
This warranty strictly does not cover damages that arose from negligence, misuse, wear and tear, or not in accordance with product instructions (dropping the product, etc.).
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Your payment information is processed securely. We do not store credit card details nor have access to your credit card information.
We accept payments with :
Visa, MasterCard, American Express, Paypal, Shopify Payments, Shop Pay and more.