Title
Forecasting World Trade: Econometric Model Development (German Edition),Used
Delivery time: 8-12 business days (International)
As economies become more open to international trade,also the transmission and propagation of economicfluctuations increases. In particular small and openeconomies are strongly exposed to fluctuations in theglobal business cycle. Hence, the cyclical dynamicsof international trade have implications inmacroeconomic forecasting and international politics.The analysis on income and growth shows that globaltrade is an important factor for sustainabledevelopment. This was the motivation to find aneconometric model that is capable to track the growthpath of world trade. Several univariate processes andmultivariate systems have been tested for theirfitness. The selected determinants of multivariatesystems are based on theory, which suggests thatinvestment activities and monetary policy influencethe development of the global business cycle. The oilprice and other raw material prices also play a keyrole in the economic development. The econometricanalysis illustrates the close relationship of thesedeterminants. While autoregessive processes aresufficient in shortterm forecasting, multivariatesystems are superior in forecasting longer time horizons.
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Shipping & Returns
Shipping
We ship your order within 2–3 business days for USA deliveries and 5–8 business days for international shipments. Once your package has been dispatched from our warehouse, you'll receive an email confirmation with a tracking number, allowing you to track the status of your delivery.
Returns
To facilitate a smooth return process, a Return Authorization (RA) Number is required for all returns. Returns without a valid RA number will be declined and may incur additional fees. You can request an RA number within 15 days of the original delivery date. For more details, please refer to our Return & Refund Policy page.
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Warranty
We provide a 2-year limited warranty, from the date of purchase for all our products.
If you believe you have received a defective product, or are experiencing any problems with your product, please contact us.
This warranty strictly does not cover damages that arose from negligence, misuse, wear and tear, or not in accordance with product instructions (dropping the product, etc.).
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Your payment information is processed securely. We do not store credit card details nor have access to your credit card information.
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Visa, MasterCard, American Express, Paypal, Shopify Payments, Shop Pay and more.