Global Catastrophes and Trends: The Next Fifty Years (Mit Press),Used

Global Catastrophes and Trends: The Next Fifty Years (Mit Press),Used

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A wideranging, interdisciplinary look at global changes that may occur over the next fifty yearswhether sudden and cataclysmic worldchanging events or gradually unfolding trends.Fundamental change occurs most often in one of two ways: as a fatal discontinuity, a sudden catastrophic event that is potentially world changing, or as a persistent, gradual trend. Global catastrophes include volcanic eruptions, viral pandemics, wars, and largescale terrorist attacks; trends are demographic, environmental, economic, and political shifts that unfold over time. In this provocative book, scientist Vaclav Smil takes a wideranging, interdisciplinary look at the catastrophes and trends the next fifty years may bring.Smil first looks at rare but cataclysmic events, both natural and humanproduced, then at trends of global importance, including the transition from fossil fuels to other energy sources and growing economic and social inequality. He also considers environmental changein some ways an amalgam of sudden discontinuities and gradual changeand assesses the often misunderstood complexities of global warming.Global Catastrophes and Trends does not come down on the side of either doomandgloom scenarios or technoeuphoria. Instead, Smil argues that understanding change will help us reverse negative trends and minimize the risk of catastrophe.

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