If you have any questions, you are always welcome to contact us. We'll get back to you as soon as possible, withing 24 hours on weekdays.
Customer service
All questions about your order, return and delivery must be sent to our customer service team by e-mail at yourstore@yourdomain.com
Sale & Press
If you are interested in selling our products, need more information about our brand or wish to make a collaboration, please contact us at press@yourdomain.com
Help
If you have any questions, you are always welcome to contact us. We'll get back to you as soon as possible, withing 24 hours on weekdays.
Customer service
All questions about your order, return and delivery must be sent to our customer service team by e-mail at yourstore@yourdomain.com
Sale & Press
If you are interested in selling our products, need more information about our brand or wish to make a collaboration, please contact us at press@yourdomain.com
Primenyaemye v prognozirovanii metody raznoobrazny po svoey suti, trebuyut razlichnoy iskhodnoy informatsii i imeyut svoim rezul'tatom raznogo kachestva otsenki budushchikh sobytiy. Dannaya rabota presleduet dve tseli: s odnoy storony, klassifitsirovat' metody, ispol'zuyushchiesya pri sostavlenii prognozov makroekonomiki, s drugoy proanalizirovat' vozmozhnosti ikh primeneniya i kombinatsii na primerakh iz otechestvennoy i zarubezhnoy praktiki. Avtor nachinaet rassmotrenie s analiza klassifikatsiy metodov, obosnovyvaet klassifikatsiyu, v kotoroy bazovym yavlyaetsya delenie metodov na ekspertnye i faktograficheskie. Pervye podrazdelyayutsya na prognozirovanie geniyami, metod fokal'nykh ob"ektov, morfologicheskogo analiza, postroeniya grafa budushchikh sobytiy, postroeniya stsenariev, kruglogo stola, prognozirovanie po analogii, mozgovoy shturm, metod Del'fi. Vtorye delyatsya na statisticheskie (analiticheskie i adaptivnye) i matematicheskie (regressionnye uravneniya, sistemy uravneniy, imitatsionnye modeli). V ramkakh predlozhennoy klassifikatsii izlagayutsya printsipy, vozmozhnosti i ogranicheniya osnovnykh primenyaemykh metodik, privodyatsya primery ikh ispol'zovaniya pri sostavlenii chastnykh prognozov pokazateley ekonomiki.
⚠️ WARNING (California Proposition 65):
This product may contain chemicals known to the State of California to cause cancer,
birth defects, or other reproductive harm.
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support@ergodebooks.com
⚠️ California Proposition 65 Warning: Some products sold on this website may expose you to chemicals known to the State of California to cause cancer, birth defects, or other reproductive harm. For more information, visit www.P65Warnings.ca.gov.
