Title
Makroekonomicheskoe prognozirovanie: metody i modeli: Printsipy, vozmozhnosti i ogranicheniya (Russian Edition),Used
Delivery time: 8-12 business days (International)
Primenyaemye v prognozirovanii metody raznoobrazny po svoey suti, trebuyut razlichnoy iskhodnoy informatsii i imeyut svoim rezul'tatom raznogo kachestva otsenki budushchikh sobytiy. Dannaya rabota presleduet dve tseli: s odnoy storony, klassifitsirovat' metody, ispol'zuyushchiesya pri sostavlenii prognozov makroekonomiki, s drugoy proanalizirovat' vozmozhnosti ikh primeneniya i kombinatsii na primerakh iz otechestvennoy i zarubezhnoy praktiki. Avtor nachinaet rassmotrenie s analiza klassifikatsiy metodov, obosnovyvaet klassifikatsiyu, v kotoroy bazovym yavlyaetsya delenie metodov na ekspertnye i faktograficheskie. Pervye podrazdelyayutsya na prognozirovanie geniyami, metod fokal'nykh ob"ektov, morfologicheskogo analiza, postroeniya grafa budushchikh sobytiy, postroeniya stsenariev, kruglogo stola, prognozirovanie po analogii, mozgovoy shturm, metod Del'fi. Vtorye delyatsya na statisticheskie (analiticheskie i adaptivnye) i matematicheskie (regressionnye uravneniya, sistemy uravneniy, imitatsionnye modeli). V ramkakh predlozhennoy klassifikatsii izlagayutsya printsipy, vozmozhnosti i ogranicheniya osnovnykh primenyaemykh metodik, privodyatsya primery ikh ispol'zovaniya pri sostavlenii chastnykh prognozov pokazateley ekonomiki.
By changing our most important processes and
products, we have already made a big leap forward. This ranges from the
increased use of more sustainable fibers to the use of more
environmentally friendly printing processes to the development of
efficient waste management in our value chain.
Shipping & Returns
Shipping
We ship your order within 2–3 business days for USA deliveries and 5–8 business days for international shipments. Once your package has been dispatched from our warehouse, you'll receive an email confirmation with a tracking number, allowing you to track the status of your delivery.
Returns
To facilitate a smooth return process, a Return Authorization (RA) Number is required for all returns. Returns without a valid RA number will be declined and may incur additional fees. You can request an RA number within 15 days of the original delivery date. For more details, please refer to our Return & Refund Policy page.
Shipping & Returns
Shipping
We ship your order within 2–3 business days for USA deliveries and 5–8 business days for international shipments. Once your package has been dispatched from our warehouse, you'll receive an email confirmation with a tracking number, allowing you to track the status of your delivery.
Returns
To facilitate a smooth return process, a Return Authorization (RA) Number is required for all returns. Returns without a valid RA number will be declined and may incur additional fees. You can request an RA number within 15 days of the original delivery date. For more details, please refer to our Return & Refund Policy page.
Warranty
We provide a 2-year limited warranty, from the date of purchase for all our products.
If you believe you have received a defective product, or are experiencing any problems with your product, please contact us.
This warranty strictly does not cover damages that arose from negligence, misuse, wear and tear, or not in accordance with product instructions (dropping the product, etc.).
Warranty
We provide a 2-year limited warranty, from the date of purchase for all our products.
If you believe you have received a defective product, or are experiencing any problems with your product, please contact us.
This warranty strictly does not cover damages that arose from negligence, misuse, wear and tear, or not in accordance with product instructions (dropping the product, etc.).
Secure Payment
Your payment information is processed securely. We do not store credit card details nor have access to your credit card information.
We accept payments with :
Visa, MasterCard, American Express, Paypal, Shopify Payments, Shop Pay and more.
Secure Payment
Your payment information is processed securely. We do not store credit card details nor have access to your credit card information.
We accept payments with :
Visa, MasterCard, American Express, Paypal, Shopify Payments, Shop Pay and more.