Modelling The Impact Of Trade Liberalisation: A Critigue Of Computable General Equilibrium Models (An Oxfam International Resear,New

Modelling The Impact Of Trade Liberalisation: A Critigue Of Computable General Equilibrium Models (An Oxfam International Resear,New

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This hardhitting research report presents a rigorous critique of the most widely used trade models based on computable general equilibrium (or CGE) models. The authors present concise analytical arguments explaining the fundamental weaknesses of typical CGE models. They show that these models tend to make unrealistic assumptions about the macroeconomy and do not allow an accurate estimation of the welfare gains that trade liberalisation is supposed to induce. The report appeals for honest simulation strategies showing a variety of possible outcomes, which would enable policymakers to assess the different scenarios for themselves.

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