Reducing Uncertainty: Intelligence Analysis And National Security,Used

Reducing Uncertainty: Intelligence Analysis And National Security,Used

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The Us Government Spends Billions Of Dollars Every Year To Reduce Uncertainty: To Monitor And Forecast Everything From The Weather To The Spread Of Disease. In Other Words, We Spend A Lot Of Money To Anticipate Problems, Identify Opportunities, And Avoid Mistakes. A Substantial Portion Of What We Spendover $50 Billion A Yeargoes To The Us Intelligence Community. Reducing Uncertainty Describes What Intelligence Community Analysts Do, How They Do It, And How They Are Affected By The Political Context That Shapes, Uses, And Sometimes Abuses Their Output. In Particular, It Looks At Why Ic Analysts Pay More Attention To Threats Than To Opportunities, And Why They Appear To Focus More On Warning About The Possibility Of 'Bad Things' Happening Than On Providing The Input Necessary For Increasing The Likelihood Of Positive Outcomes. The Book Is Intended To Increase Public Understanding Of What Ic Analysts Do, To Elicit More Relevant And Constructive Suggestions For Improvement From Outside The Intelligence Community, To Stimulate Innovation And Collaboration Among Analysts At All Grade Levels In All Agencies, And To Provide A Core Resource For Students Of Intelligence. The Most Valuable Aspect Of This Book Is The Indepth Discussion Of National Intelligence Estimateswhat They Are, What It Means To Say That They Represent The 'Most Authoritative Judgments Of The Intelligence Community,' Why And How They Are Important, And Why They Have Such High Political Salience And Symbolic Importance. The Final Chapter Lays Out, From An Insider'S Perspective, The Story Of The Flawed Iraq Wmd Nie And Its Impact On The Subsequent Iran Nuclear Niepaying Particular Attention To The Heightened Political Scrutiny The Latter Received In Congress Following The Iraq Nie Debacle.

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Frequently Asked Questions

  • Q: What is the main focus of the book 'Reducing Uncertainty: Intelligence Analysis and National Security'? A: The book focuses on the role of the US Intelligence Community in reducing uncertainty, detailing how analysts monitor and forecast various threats and opportunities, and the political context that influences their work.
  • Q: Who is the author of this book? A: The author of 'Reducing Uncertainty: Intelligence Analysis and National Security' is Thomas Fingar.
  • Q: When was 'Reducing Uncertainty' published? A: The book was published on July 20, 2011.
  • Q: What is the length of the book? A: The book has a total of 176 pages.
  • Q: What type of binding does the book have? A: This book is available in paperback binding.
  • Q: What are National Intelligence Estimates discussed in the book? A: National Intelligence Estimates are detailed assessments that represent the most authoritative judgments of the Intelligence Community, as discussed in the book, highlighting their importance and political significance.
  • Q: Is this book suitable for students of intelligence studies? A: Yes, the book serves as a core resource for students of intelligence, providing insights into the work of Intelligence Community analysts.
  • Q: What issues does the book address regarding the Intelligence Community's focus? A: The book addresses why analysts tend to focus on threats rather than opportunities and the implications of this tendency for national security.
  • Q: What can readers expect to learn from the final chapter of the book? A: The final chapter provides an insider's perspective on the flawed Iraq WMD National Intelligence Estimate and its impact on subsequent analyses, including the Iran nuclear NIE.
  • Q: What is the condition of the book being sold? A: The book is listed as 'New', ensuring that readers receive a copy in pristine condition.