Sovereign Debt And The Financial Crisis: Will This Time Be Different?,New

Sovereign Debt And The Financial Crisis: Will This Time Be Different?,New

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In the wake of the financial crisis of 2008, governments worldwide undertook massive fiscal interventions to stave off what otherwise would have likely been a systemwide financial and economic meltdown. The policy responses engendered significant shifts in growth trajectories and debt sustainability outlooks of both mature and developing economies. For Low Income Countries, postcrisis debt sustainability analyses show an average deterioration of 57 percentage points in the present value of public debttoGDP ratio in 200910 compared with precrisis projections, and stay in the area of 30 percent until 2014. Among the LICs, 40 percent face high risk of (or are in) debt distress. In the G20 countries, government debttoGDP ratios are expected reach 85 percent by 2014.The magnitude of public liabilities incurred and the uncertainty surrounding the exit from unprecedented discretionary fiscal stimulus have become a major source of concern about a future crisis. Will the current stringent financial conditions lead to a wave of sovereign debt problems around the world? Or will countries, given their stronger fundamentals compared with previous crises episodes, successfully muddle through the crisis?The objective of the book is to present and discuss policyrelevant research on the current debt challenges which developing, emerging market, and developed economies face. Its value added lies in the integrated approach of drawing on theoretical research and evidence from practitioners experience in developing, emerging market, and developed countries.The study is partially funded by the Debt Management Facility for LowIncome Countries. Contributors involve World Bank staff, other international and multilateral institutions, external researchers.

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