Statistical Consequences Of Fat Tails: Real World Preasymptotics, Epistemology, And Applications (Technical Incerto)

Statistical Consequences Of Fat Tails: Real World Preasymptotics, Epistemology, And Applications (Technical Incerto)

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The Book Investigates The Misapplication Of Conventional Statistical Techniques To Fat Tailed Distributions And Looks For Remedies, When Possible. Switching From Thin Tailed To Fat Tailed Distributions Requires More Than Changing The Color Of The Dress. Traditional Asymptotics Deal Mainly With Either N=1 Or N=8, And The Real World Is In Between, Under The Laws Of The Medium Numberswhich Vary Widely Across Specific Distributions. Both The Law Of Large Numbers And The Generalized Central Limit Mechanisms Operate In Highly Idiosyncratic Ways Outside The Standard Gaussian Or Levystable Basins Of Convergence. A Few Examples: The Sample Mean Is Rarely In Line With The Population Mean, With Effect On Nave Empiricism, But Can Be Sometimes Be Estimated Via Parametric Methods. The Empirical Distribution Is Rarely Empirical. Parameter Uncertainty Has Compounding Effects On Statistical Metrics. Dimension Reduction (Principal Components) Fails. Inequality Estimators (Gini Or Quantile Contributions) Are Not Additive And Produce Wrong Results. Many Biases Found In Psychology Become Entirely Rational Under More Sophisticated Probability Distributions. Most Of The Failures Of Financial Economics, Econometrics, And Behavioral Economics Can Be Attributed To Using The Wrong Distributions. This Book, The First Volume Of The Technical Incerto, Weaves A Narrative Around Published Journal Articles.

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Frequently Asked Questions

  • Q: What is the main focus of 'Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails'? A: The book examines the misapplication of traditional statistical techniques to fat-tailed distributions and seeks remedies for these issues.
  • Q: Who is the author of this book? A: The author of 'Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails' is Nassim Nicholas Taleb.
  • Q: What is the publication date of this book? A: The book was published on June 30, 2020.
  • Q: How many pages does the book contain? A: The book contains 441 pages.
  • Q: What type of binding does this book have? A: The book is available in hardcover binding.
  • Q: What category does this book fall under? A: The book falls under the category of Probability & Statistics.
  • Q: What are some key topics covered in the book? A: Key topics include the law of large numbers, parameter uncertainty, dimension reduction, and biases in psychology related to probability distributions.
  • Q: Is this book suitable for beginners in statistics? A: This book is more suitable for readers with some background in statistics, as it delves into advanced concepts related to fat-tailed distributions.
  • Q: Can this book help with practical applications in finance? A: Yes, the book discusses failures in financial economics due to the misapplication of statistical techniques, providing insights for practical applications.
  • Q: What is the significance of fat-tailed distributions in statistics? A: Fat-tailed distributions are significant as they better represent real-world phenomena compared to traditional thin-tailed distributions, especially in fields like finance and economics.