Title
The Black Swan: The Impact Of The Highly Improbable (Incerto)
Delivery time: 8-12 business days (International)
The Most Influential Book Of The Past Seventyfive Years: A Groundbreaking Exploration Of Everything We Know About What We Don?T Know, Now With A New Section Called ?On Robustness And Fragility.?A Black Swan Is A Highly Improbable Event With Three Principal Characteristics: It Is Unpredictable; It Carries A Massive Impact; And, After The Fact, We Concoct An Explanation That Makes It Appear Less Random, And More Predictable, Than It Was. The Astonishing Success Of Google Was A Black Swan; So Was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Black Swans Underlie Almost Everything About Our World, From The Rise Of Religions To Events In Our Own Personal Lives.Why Do We Not Acknowledge The Phenomenon Of Black Swans Until After They Occur? Part Of The Answer, According To Taleb, Is That Humans Are Hardwired To Learn Specifics When They Should Be Focused On Generalities. We Concentrate On Things We Already Know And Time And Time Again Fail To Take Into Consideration What We Don?T Know. We Are, Therefore, Unable To Truly Estimate Opportunities, Too Vulnerable To The Impulse To Simplify, Narrate, And Categorize, And Not Open Enough To Rewarding Those Who Can Imagine The ?Impossible.?For Years, Taleb Has Studied How We Fool Ourselves Into Thinking We Know More Than We Actually Do. We Restrict Our Thinking To The Irrelevant And Inconsequential, While Large Events Continue To Surprise Us And Shape Our World. In This Revelatory Book, Taleb Will Change The Way You Look At The World, And This Second Edition Features A New Philosophical And Empirical Essay, ?On Robustness And Fragility,? Which Offers Tools To Navigate And Exploit A Black Swan World.Taleb Is A Vastly Entertaining Writer, With Wit, Irreverence, And Unusual Stories To Tell. He Has A Polymathic Command Of Subjects Ranging From Cognitive Science To Business To Probability Theory. Elegant, Startling, And Universal In Its Applications, The Black Swan Is A Landmark Bookitself A Black Swan.
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Shipping & Returns
Shipping
We ship your order within 2–3 business days for USA deliveries and 5–8 business days for international shipments. Once your package has been dispatched from our warehouse, you'll receive an email confirmation with a tracking number, allowing you to track the status of your delivery.
Returns
To facilitate a smooth return process, a Return Authorization (RA) Number is required for all returns. Returns without a valid RA number will be declined and may incur additional fees. You can request an RA number within 15 days of the original delivery date. For more details, please refer to our Return & Refund Policy page.
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Warranty
We provide a 2-year limited warranty, from the date of purchase for all our products.
If you believe you have received a defective product, or are experiencing any problems with your product, please contact us.
This warranty strictly does not cover damages that arose from negligence, misuse, wear and tear, or not in accordance with product instructions (dropping the product, etc.).
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Frequently Asked Questions
- Q: What is the main theme of 'The Black Swan'? A: The main theme of 'The Black Swan' is the exploration of highly improbable events that have significant impacts on our lives and the world, known as black swans. The book discusses how these events are often unpredictable and how people tend to rationalize them after they occur.
- Q: Who is the author of 'The Black Swan'? A: The author of 'The Black Swan' is Nassim Nicholas Taleb, who is known for his expertise in probability, finance, and philosophy.
- Q: What type of binding does this book have? A: 'The Black Swan' is available in a hardcover binding, which provides durability and a premium feel.
- Q: How many pages are in 'The Black Swan'? A: 'The Black Swan' contains a total of 366 pages, offering a comprehensive exploration of its themes.
- Q: What is the publication date of 'The Black Swan'? A: 'The Black Swan' was published on April 17, 2007.
- Q: Is 'The Black Swan' suitable for beginners in philosophy? A: Yes, 'The Black Swan' is suitable for beginners as it presents complex ideas in an accessible and engaging manner, making it a good introduction to philosophical concepts related to uncertainty and randomness.
- Q: What makes 'The Black Swan' a bestseller? A: 'The Black Swan' is considered a bestseller due to its groundbreaking insights into the nature of unpredictable events and its influence on various fields, including economics, psychology, and risk management.
- Q: Does 'The Black Swan' include any additional essays? A: Yes, the second edition of 'The Black Swan' includes a new philosophical and empirical essay titled 'On Robustness and Fragility,' which further explores the themes of the book.
- Q: What genre does 'The Black Swan' fall under? A: 'The Black Swan' falls under the genre of Personal Transformation, focusing on self-awareness and understanding of complex systems.
- Q: Can 'The Black Swan' help in understanding risk in daily life? A: Yes, 'The Black Swan' provides insights into how to better understand and navigate risks in daily life by highlighting the importance of recognizing uncertainty and the limitations of our knowledge.