Title
The Future Impact of Automation on Workers,Used
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While the computer revolution has created hundreds of thousands of new jobs, it has threatened as many other jobs with obsolescence and has often caused the displacement of workers by computerbased machines. Here, Nobel Prizewinning economist Wassily Leontief and Faye Duchin use the inputoutput approach, a method that has been widely applied in examining structural economic change, to analyze the complex issues surrounding the impact of computerdriven automation on employment. Following a general discussion of the impact of automation on employment, they focus on four specific sectors within the economymanufacturing, office work, education, and health care. The inputoutput approach makes it possible to draw conclusions regarding both overall employment and the prospects for individual occupations. Taking account of the increased need for workers in the production of computerbased equipment, the authors conclude that by the year 2000 automation will not cause dramatic unemployment if the economy is able to achieve a smooth transition from the old to new technologies.
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