Title
The Predictioneer'S Game: Using The Logic Of Brazen Selfinterest To See And Shape The Future,Used
Delivery time: 8-12 business days (International)
Bruce Bueno de Mesquita is a master of game theory, which is a fancy label for a simple idea: People compete, and they always do what they think is in their own best interest. Bueno de Mesquita uses game theory and its insights into human behavior to predict and even engineer political, financial, and personal events. His forecasts, which have been employed by everyone from the CIA to major business firms, have an amazing 90 percent accuracy rate, and in this dazzling and revelatory book he shares his startling methods and lets you play along in a range of highstakes negotiations and conflicts.Revealing the origins of game theory and the advances made by John Nash, the Nobel Prizewinning scientist perhaps best known from A Beautiful Mind, Bueno de Mesquita details the controversial and coldeyed system of calculation that he has since created, one that allows individuals to think strategically about what their opponents want, how much they want it, and how they might react to every move. From there, Bueno de Mesquita games such events as the North Korean disarmament talks and the Middle East peace process and recalls, among other cases, how he correctly predicted which corporate clients of the Arthur Andersen accounting firm were most likely engaged in fraudulent activity (hint: one of them started with an E). And looking as ever to the future, Bueno de Mesquita also demonstrates how game theory can provide successful strategies to combat both global warming (instead of relying on empty regulations, make nations compete in technology) and terror (figure out exactly how much U.S. aid will make Pakistan fight the Taliban).But as Bueno de Mesquita shows, game theory isnt just for saving the world. It can help you in your own life, whether you want to succeed in a lawsuit (lawyers argue too much the merits of the case and question too little the motives of their opponents), elect the CEO of your company (change the system of voting on your board to be more advantageous to your candidate), or even buy a car (start by knowing exactly what you want, call every dealer in a fiftymile radius, and negotiate only over the phone).Savvy, provocative, and shockingly effective, The Predictioneers Game will change how you understand the world and manage your future. Lifes a game, and how you play is whether you win or lose.
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⚠️ WARNING (California Proposition 65):
This product may contain chemicals known to the State of California to cause cancer, birth defects, or other reproductive harm.
For more information, please visit www.P65Warnings.ca.gov.
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Shipping & Returns
Shipping
We ship your order within 2–3 business days for USA deliveries and 5–8 business days for international shipments. Once your package has been dispatched from our warehouse, you'll receive an email confirmation with a tracking number, allowing you to track the status of your delivery.
Returns
To facilitate a smooth return process, a Return Authorization (RA) Number is required for all returns. Returns without a valid RA number will be declined and may incur additional fees. You can request an RA number within 15 days of the original delivery date. For more details, please refer to our Return & Refund Policy page.
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We provide a 2-year limited warranty, from the date of purchase for all our products.
If you believe you have received a defective product, or are experiencing any problems with your product, please contact us.
This warranty strictly does not cover damages that arose from negligence, misuse, wear and tear, or not in accordance with product instructions (dropping the product, etc.).
Warranty
We provide a 2-year limited warranty, from the date of purchase for all our products.
If you believe you have received a defective product, or are experiencing any problems with your product, please contact us.
This warranty strictly does not cover damages that arose from negligence, misuse, wear and tear, or not in accordance with product instructions (dropping the product, etc.).
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Your payment information is processed securely. We do not store credit card details nor have access to your credit card information.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- Q: What is the main idea of 'The Predictioneer's Game'? A: The main idea of 'The Predictioneer's Game' is to use game theory to predict and influence outcomes in political, financial, and personal scenarios by understanding individual self-interests.
- Q: Who is the author of 'The Predictioneer's Game'? A: The author of 'The Predictioneer's Game' is Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, a recognized expert in game theory.
- Q: How many pages does 'The Predictioneer's Game' have? A: 'The Predictioneer's Game' has 288 pages, providing an in-depth exploration of game theory applications.
- Q: When was 'The Predictioneer's Game' published? A: 'The Predictioneer's Game' was published on October 12, 2010.
- Q: What is the binding type of this book? A: The binding type of 'The Predictioneer's Game' is paperback.
- Q: How does game theory apply to personal decision-making? A: Game theory can enhance personal decision-making by helping individuals understand the motivations of others, allowing for more strategic negotiations in various situations, such as lawsuits and car purchases.
- Q: What are some real-world issues addressed in the book? A: The book addresses real-world issues such as the North Korean disarmament talks and the Middle East peace process, showcasing how game theory can predict outcomes.
- Q: Is 'The Predictioneer's Game' suitable for beginners? A: 'The Predictioneer's Game' is suitable for beginners interested in understanding game theory, as it explains concepts in a clear and engaging manner without requiring prior knowledge.
- Q: What is the accuracy rate of the forecasts made using the techniques described in the book? A: The forecasts made using the techniques described in 'The Predictioneer's Game' have an impressive accuracy rate of 90 percent.
- Q: Can 'The Predictioneer's Game' help with business strategies? A: 'The Predictioneer's Game' can help with business strategies by providing insights into competitive behavior and negotiation tactics, enabling better decision-making in corporate environments.