The Theory That Would Not Die: How Bayes Rule Cracked The Enigma Code, Hunted Down Russian Submarines, And Emerged Triumphant Fr,New

The Theory That Would Not Die: How Bayes Rule Cracked The Enigma Code, Hunted Down Russian Submarines, And Emerged Triumphant Fr,New

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Bayes Rule Appears To Be A Straightforward, Oneline Theorem: By Updating Our Initial Beliefs With Objective New Information, We Get A New And Improved Belief. To Its Adherents, It Is An Elegant Statement About Learning From Experience. To Its Opponents, It Is Subjectivity Run Amok.In The Firstever Account Of Bayes Rule For General Readers, Sharon Bertsch Mcgrayne Explores This Controversial Theorem And The Human Obsessions Surrounding It. She Traces Its Discovery By An Amateur Mathematician In The 1740S Through Its Development Into Roughly Its Modern Form By French Scientist Pierre Simon Laplace. She Reveals Why Respected Statisticians Rendered It Professionally Taboo For 150 Yearsat The Same Time That Practitioners Relied On It To Solve Crises Involving Great Uncertainty And Scanty Information (Alan Turings Role In Breaking Germanys Enigma Code During World War Ii), And Explains How The Advent Of Offtheshelf Computer Technology In The 1980S Proved To Be A Gamechanger. Today, Bayes Rule Is Used Everywhere From Dna Decoding To Homeland Security.Drawing On Primary Source Material And Interviews With Statisticians And Other Scientists, The Theory That Would Not Die Is The Riveting Account Of How A Seemingly Simple Theorem Ignited One Of The Greatest Controversies Of All Time.

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We ship your order within 2–3 business days for USA deliveries and 5–8 business days for international shipments. Once your package has been dispatched from our warehouse, you'll receive an email confirmation with a tracking number, allowing you to track the status of your delivery.

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We provide a 2-year limited warranty, from the date of purchase for all our products.

If you believe you have received a defective product, or are experiencing any problems with your product, please contact us.

This warranty strictly does not cover damages that arose from negligence, misuse, wear and tear, or not in accordance with product instructions (dropping the product, etc.).

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