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Think Twice: Harnessing the Power of Counterintuition,Used
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Leaders in all fieldsbusiness, medicine, law, governmentmake crucial decisions every day. The harsh truth is that they mismanage many of those choices, even though they have the right intentions. These blunders take a huge toll on leaders, their organizations, and the people they serve.Why is it so hard to make sound decisions? We fall victim to simplified mental routines that prevent us from coping with the complex realities inherent in important judgment calls. Yet these cognitive errors are preventable. In Think Twice, Michael Mauboussin shows you how to recognizeand avoidcommon mental missteps, including:Misunderstanding causeandeffect linkagesAggregating microlevel behavior to predict macrolevel behaviorNot considering enough alternative possibilities in making a decisionRelying too much on expertsSharing vivid stories from business and beyond, Mauboussin offers powerful rules for avoiding each error. And he explains how to know when it's time to think twiceto question your reasoning and adopt decisionmaking strategies that are far more effective, even if they seem counterintuitive.Master the art of thinking twice, and you'll start spotting dangerous mental errorsin your own decisions and in those of others. Equipped with this awareness, you'll soon begin making sounder judgment calls that benefit (rather than hurt) your organization.
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