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Die vorliegende Arbeit 'Zur Gute linearer Entscheidungsregeln in Produktions LagerhaltungsModellen' wurde 1975 vom Fachbereich Wirtschaftswissenschaften der Freien Universitat Berlin als Dissertation angenommen. Herrn Prof. Dr. Christoph Schneewei mochte ich fur die Anregung zur Bearbei tung dieses Themas und fur die stetige Unterstiitzung herzlich danken. Der Deutschen Forschungsgemeinschaft bin ich dankbar fUr die finanzielle Forderung dieser Arbeit im Rahmen des Forschungsprojekts 'Theil'sche Theorie' (Schn 159/1 u. 2). Berlin, November 1976 Karl Inderfurth 3 Inhalt 1. Problemstellung ...................................... . 7 2. Darstellung einer Klasse von ProduktionsLagerhaltungsModellen ...... . 10 3. Die Anwendung der stochastischen dynamischen Optimierung ........ . 16 3.1. Die optimale Politik im Grundmodell ..................... . 16 3.1.1. Die Struktur der optimalen Politik ................... . 16 3.1.2. Die Ermittlung der PolitikParameter. ................. . 18 3.1.2.1. Aufstellung und Auswertung der Funktionalgleichungen ..................... . 18 3.1. 2.2. Untersuchung der Politikparameter durch Wertiteration 22 3.1.2.3. Iterationsverfahren zur Berechnung der PolitikParameter ............... . 28 3.1.3.Die Ermittlung der minimalen Kosten ....... . 31 3.1.4. Sensitivitatsanalyse ............................. . 35 3.2. Die optimale Politik im Modell mit Fixkosten ................ . 38 3.2.1. Zur Struktur der optimalen Politik ........... . 38 3.2.2.Die Ermittlung der optimalen Politik und Durchschnittskosten . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . 41 . . . . . 3.2.2.1. Darstellung des Problems als Markovschen Entscheidungsproze . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . 41 . . . 3.2.2.2. Ein LPAnsatz zur Losung des Markovschen Entscheidungsproblems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . 45 . . 3.2.2.3. Die Ergebnisse der numerischen Berechnungen . . 52 3.2.3. Ein Iterationsverfahren zur Bestimmung der Parameter der optimalen Politik . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53 . . . 3.2.4. Sensitivitatsanalyse . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . 58 . . . . .
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